Weather Monitoring

Showery Season and “Almost Rain” – Decision Rules When 2–5 mm Isn’t Enough

Showery seasons create a false sense of security: a forecast of 2–5 mm may look “green,” but it often doesn’t offset evaporation – and postponing an operation can cause more harm than good. Agdir makes this assessment practical by combining field-specific forecasts, degree days, and local history.

The result is a set of decision rules that are easy to apply on the go: when a split fertilizer dose pays off, when short irrigation intervals are needed even if rain is “on its way,” and when spraying should be delayed to ensure effect and minimize drift.

Almost rain in Agdir – from gut feeling to field-specific rules

Agdir displays rainfall, wind, and temperature per field and translates this into operational windows. In showery periods, precision is about recognizing when 2–5 mm won’t make a difference, or when light drizzle destroys spraying effectiveness. By combining forecasts with degree days (ET) and, when needed, sensor data, the question “Do we wait or go?” becomes a guided decision rather than a guess.

Decision rules for the three critical operations

1. Spraying: ensuring effect and minimizing drift

· Forecasted drizzle (<2 mm) in 2–3 hours: Spray now if the wind window is green and the product’s label allows. Move to early morning if wind is marginal and rain may interfere with efficacy.

· Forecasted showers (2–5 mm) spread over the evening: Consider splitting the field – prioritize high-risk zones first, finish the rest in the next safe window.

· Inversion/heat peak: Prioritize cooler minutes (dawn/evening); avoid calm wind just after sunset during inversion risk.

2. Fertilizing: balancing uptake and leaching

· “Almost rain” (<4 mm) with high degree-day rate: Apply a split dose now, then fine-tune after actual rainfall.

· Showers (2–5 mm) and sandy soil: Avoid full dose in advance – split it. Monitor uptake with degree days and sensors if available; delay remainder if leaching risk increases.

3. Irrigation: covering ET and preventing stress

· 2–5 mm rarely covers ET during heat peaks. Schedule short irrigation intervals in evening/morning to “bridge” until real rainfall.

· On heavier soil or near saturation: use split, low-intensity watering; consider waiting if a strong rain band is forecast within 12 hours.

Practical thumb rules by soil type

Sand

Reacts fast and dries quickly – 2–5 mm rainfall rarely reduces irrigation needs during heat peaks.

Silt/clay

Can tolerate delay if a solid rain band is near; emphasize saturation risk and timing of split doses/light watering.

How to set up rules in Agdir

· Create task templates with “shower check”: split-dose flag for fertilizing; “short interval” tag for irrigation; “drizzle” decision point for spraying.

· Enable field-specific alerts for combinations such as: rapid degree-day increase + 2–5 mm in forecast = consider immediate action.

· Document each choice in the journal – building repeatable routines for next season.

Summary

Showery weather blurs even the best plans. With field-specific decision rules in Agdir, “almost rain” becomes manageable: split doses when uptake demands it, shorter irrigation intervals when ET runs high, and spraying in safe wind windows.

Set up the “shower check” in your templates and activate alerts – making the showery season more controlled and less costly.